Predictive Analysis and the Theory of Consequence , livre ebook

Brown Dog Books - Andy Allwood

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63 pages

English

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Description

This book is the first of three in the Covid-war series. It is a factual account timelined and written as a diary of events of the Covid-19 pandemic of 2020 to 2021 written by Andy Allwood, a retired fireman of 31 years and an observer of life on this planet. It combines tongue-in-cheek humour, factual evidence, fictional stories, observations of human behaviour, historical insight, the theory of predictive analysis, the theory of consequence and many other items close to his heart.Andy Allwood was born in 1955 and will be 66 this year he will soon have been retired 16 years he has been driven to write this account of this time in history as a record from his perspective. Yes some of his observations are contentious, but they are meant to be thought provoking and offer some insight for others to help them make the right decisions and by making small steps save this planet. Whilst he is still alive he will always be willing to discuss and debate his thoughts and he hopes his books will better the future of man and help others to deal with the next war (pandemic). So always remember: Don't touch your face, wash your hands, don't share surfaces and don't be a space invader.

Sujets

Sociologie, société et politique

Informations

Publié par	Brown Dog Books
Date de parution	08 février 2021
Nombre de lectures	0
EAN13	9781839522550
Langue	English

Informations légales : prix de location à la page 0,0200€. Cette information est donnée uniquement à titre indicatif conformément à la législation en vigueur.

Extrait

First published 2021 Copyright © Andy Allwood 2021
The right of Andy Allwood to be identified as the author of this work has been asserted in accordance with the Copyright, Designs & Patents Act 1988.
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, electrostatic, magnetic tape, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the written permission of the copyright holder.
Published under licence by Brown Dog Books and The Self-Publishing Partnership, 7 Green Park Station, Bath BA1 1JB
www.selfpublishingpartnership.co.uk

ISBN printed book: 978-1-83952-254-3 ISBN e-book: 978-1-83952-255-0
Cover design by Kevin Rylands Internal design by Andrew Easton
Printed and bound in the UK
This book is printed on FSC certified paper
CONTENTS
This book also contains information of a historical nature, which may be of educational value; there is some threat of mild violence, some strong language used to emphasise a point, adult and childish humour, mild suspense and no political correctness whatsoever.
Acknowledgements
preface
Chapter 1 An introduction into my mind (be afraid, be very afraid)
Chapter 2 The tools you need to be a good predictive analyst and understand the theory of consequence
Chapter 3 Predictive analysis. A first step to cognitive understanding through a simple story
Chapter 4 The theory of consequence and how to use it to stop shit from happening
Chapter 5 The FWIT (“fuckwit”). An explanation, buckle up!
Chapter 6 ATTACKERS, DEFENDERS, CANNON FODDER
Chapter 7 Moving forward, what can we do to make the world a better place using predictive analysis and consequence theory?
Chapter 8 COVID-19: how predictive analysis and consequence theory helped me get through lockdown and beyond
Chapter 9 The royal family, revealing the second guardian in my lifetime
Chapter 10 ……….
Chapter 11 Destin, be proud of the fallen
Chapter 12 Predictive analysis the theory of consequence and not all politicians are fwits or believers in the nanny state.
Chapter 13 But some are
Chapter 14 THE COVID WAR in the beginning
Chapter 15 Ok this time. What does the future hold for predictive analysis and the theory of consequence?
Chapter 16 part 2 Covid war
Chapter 17 ……….
Chapter 18 Just saying, before you read the last chapter I wrote this some time ago read on you will see the relevance it has no chapter as it is an insert
Chapter 19 This is the last page
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
This book is dedicated to a number of individuals who have most influenced me in my life.
Firstly, my long-suffering third wife Sue, whom I love dearly and who puts up with all my eccentricities.
Nelson Mandela, in my view the greatest human being in history, who understood the theory of consequence, and was a guardian of this planet. I know he would not approve of this, but if anyone disputes his guardianship, they need to be bitch-slapped!
Margaret Thatcher. Love her or hate her, she was the greatest leader of this country in my lifetime and an excellent predictive analyst. She understood the theory of consequence, made this small country great again, and gave back power to the union membership and unions as a whole. (I feel a need to bitch-slap coming on, just read and you will understand.)
Grandad Smith, my maternal grandfather, who was the most interesting man I have ever had the pleasure of knowing and the best predictive analyst in his field as a scholar of form.
Additionally, a shout out to all the care workers (defenders) in the world that dedicate their lives to ensure those that they protect don’t get eaten!
PREFACE
Before I start, here is an important announcement.
These two ailments 1 Covid 19 is a virus 2 malaria a bacterial infection please read on
Ok masks: I do get it, but stop it, will you? Making them compulsory is just foolish. Before we go any further, I don’t want anyone to break the law. That is also just stupid and unhelpful. However, now is the time for the individual to take a step? Make a fuss gently, write letters, not emails, and don’t ring. Be rational, the facts are there: this book will provide you with the relevant information you will need.
Let me explain and make things clear. DO NOT BREAK ANY LAWS: it’s not big and it’s not clever!
The best and most comfortable mask you can have if you want to avoid gum disease and CO 2 rebreathing (in my opinion and based on my training) is the bandana; a triangle of cloth tied behind the back of the head. Your glasses may still mist up but there is little you can do about that. If you want to help in the war effort, print on the front of your bandana four rules: DON’T TOUCH YOUR FACE, WASH YOUR HANDS, DON’T SHARE SURFACES and DON’T BE A SPACE INVADER. Alternatively, you could print it on a T-shirt!
We are at war, make no mistake. Follow these four rules. It’s a small step, people, and if you are a teenager wash your hands before and after you squeeze that zit.
You want to join the battle? Don’t say I don’t give solutions – I am a defender. If you break the law now, please don’t breed: the world can do without your spawn! “I don’t care, in my opinion, that type of person can’t read anyway.” Get engaged. WE ARE AT WAR, THE ENEMY IS UNSEEN, SHOWS NO MERCY AND WILL NEVER SURRENDER. BE PREPARED FOR THE LONG HAUL.
Within this book I make reference to the Japanese. The Japanese are honourable, hard-working people and probably the most law-abiding in the world along with the Swiss, although in the past their leaders have made some very bad calls. The references I have made are based on this data and are not meant to be disrespectful to their people or culture. The past is the past: we can all learn by ours and others’ mistakes. Know your history and learn to forgive like Nelson Mandela did with those who imprisoned him and supported apartheid.
There are also many references in the first chapters of this book to defenders, attackers and cannon fodder. There is a whole chapter dedicated to them, so have faith that I will get to the point, read on, get to it in turn, and don’t jump. You need to learn to walk first.
The word ‘fuck’ is also used in this book, not in a sexual or derogatory way, but it is intended to be a powerful means of expression. If you have seen the film Four Weddings and a Funeral , then you will know what I mean. I am not trying to make you wince; it is, as I have said, a powerful word and, when used in context, can drive a point home, a bit like a mallet on a tent peg! Be open-minded.
I have never bitch-slapped anyone in my entire life, although I have seen it done, and when done properly it is a strong and degrading means of punishment, right up there with hanging. My reference to it is only metaphorical.
Now, on the matter of language: Danny, one of my proofreaders, is a practising Christian. Whilst she enjoyed the book and understood the bad language used in context and for effect, she expressed concern that I could lose some of my potential readers if I didn’t tone things down a bit. I really respect Danny. Both my wife Sue and I think the world of her and her family, so whilst I have left some of it in, I have made changes. Ladies and gentlemen, may I introduce two words to the English language to hopefully maintain the intended impact, still get my message across to as wide an audience as possible, and hopefully not offend those I wish to protect?
1 Fwit (a fuckwit): a mammal with a predisposition to undertake a range of actions from just plain silly to the completely outrageous. This stupidity may be vocal or physical and may sometimes amuse them and others. Equally, it can anger and upset, and in the extreme cases result in serious injury or death. Fwits being the collective plural. Fwit covers all genders and species.
2 Mif (a mind-fuck): when something occurs which is seen, heard or felt, or is said, confusing and bending the mind. This may range from the mildly thought-provoking, to disturbing, extremely worrying and tormenting. A mif can affect all forms of organic life, sometimes resulting in death or injury caused by panic. Mifs being the collective plural.
Sometimes I will leave fuckwit in rather than the smoother and more pleasant fwit, as this provides more impact where emotion and anger need to be more pronounced.
Finally, before we start, I was a full-time fireman for 31 years so this may give you some insight into where I am coming from when you are reading some of the sections.
YOU HAVE BEEN WARNED.
I now feel you have been warned enough, but I am a defender, so unlike the Japanese I did not want to bomb you and declare war at the same time. So, take a deep breath, buckle up and enjoy the ride as I drive fast, so keep up (ARE THE PIGS READY IN THE BACK?)
If you burn this book after buying it and all the warnings I have given, what can I say except thank you, my work here is done and I got paid?
CHAPTER 1
AN INTRODUCTION INTO MY MIND (BE AFRAID, BE VERY AFRAID)
When man first stepped out onto this earth armed with objective reasoning, he knew that everything on the planet was either out there to kill him or eat him or both, and not necessarily in that order! The survivors and successful Homo sapiens were the ones that could predictively analyse, realise the theory of consequence; kill the motherfucker before it killed him and eat it for the nutritional value and contribute to the survival of the fittest.
Life was simple back then.
Well? you may now ask. What the hell is predictive analysis and please explain the theory of consequence? Hmmm, have patience, we will get there and you will, I hope, enjoy the journey and be enlightened into my world. I hope to enable you to improve your existence and that of the world, or if nothing else, make you laugh, cry or leave you with the feeling you need to bitch-slap that fwit next door!
Please don’t resort to the latter. Hopefully, after