Baseball Prospectus Futures Guide 2019 , livre ebook

Baseball Prospectus - Baseball Prospectus

Découvre YouScribe en t'inscrivant gratuitement

Je m'inscris

Obtenez un accès à la bibliothèque pour le consulter en ligne
En savoir plus

306 pages

English

Vous pourrez modifier la taille du texte de cet ouvrage

Obtenez un accès à la bibliothèque pour le consulter en ligne
En savoir plus

A propos
Informations
Extrait

Description

FUTURES GUIDE 2019 features: - Detailed reports on top 10 prospects for every major-league team. - Condensed reports on many additional key prospects for each team. - Top talents 25 years old and younger for each team. - Baseball Prospectus' 2019 organizational rankings. - Top 101 real-life and fantasy prospects. - Top 50 players who entered pro baseball in 2019. - Essays on prospect hype cycles and what scouting grades mean.

Informations

Publié par	Baseball Prospectus
Date de parution	07 mars 2019
Nombre de lectures	0
EAN13	9781732355576
Langue	English
Poids de l'ouvrage	16 Mo

Informations légales : prix de location à la page 0,1000€. Cette information est donnée uniquement à titre indicatif conformément à la législation en vigueur.

Extrait

FUTURES GUIDE 2019
The Top Prospects For Every MLB Team and more
Edited by Brendan Gawlowski and Craig Brown
Nathan Bishop, Ben Carsley, Kevin Carter, Zack Crizer, Scott Delp, Victor Filoromo, Brendan Gawlowski, Aaron Gleeman, Nathan Graham, Jon Hegglund, Wilson Karaman, David Lee, Jay Markle, Tyler Oringer, Jeffrey Paternostro, Keith Rader, Jen Mac Ramos, Alex Rosen, Bret Sayre, Jarrett Seidler, Collin Whitchurch
Dave Pease, Consultant Editor Rob McQuown, Statistics Editor Scott Orgera, Associate Editor
Copyright 2019 by DIY Baseball, LLC.
All rights reserved
This book or any part thereof may not be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, or by any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher.
Limit of Liability/Disclaimer of Warranty: While the publisher and the author have used their best efforts in preparing this book, they make no representations or warranties with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the contents of this book and specifically disclaim any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. No warranty may be created or extended by sales representatives or written sales materials. The advice and strategies contained herein may not be suitable for your situation. You should consult with a professional where appropriate. Neither the publisher nor the author shall be liable for any loss of profit or any other commercial damages, including but not limited to special, incidental, consequential, or other damages.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data:
paperback
ISBN-10: 1732355568
ISBN-13: 978-1732355569
Project Credits
Cover Design: Kathleen Dyson
Interior Design and Production: Jeff Pease, Dave Pease
Layout: Jeff Pease, Dave Pease
Cover Photos
Front Cover: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports
Back Cover:
Forrest Whitley. Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
Eloy Jimenez. Rick Scuteri-USA TODAY Sports
Victor Robles. Amber Searls-USA TODAY Sports
Baseball icon courtesy of Uberux, from https://www.shareicon.net/author/uberux
Manufactured in the United States of America
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Table of Contents

Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Indians
Colorado Rockies
Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
New York Mets
New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics
Philadelphia Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
Seattle Mariners
St. Louis Cardinals
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays
Washington Nationals
Organization Rankings by Jeffrey Paternostro
Top 101 Prospects by Jeffrey Paternostro and Jarrett Seidler
Trust, Buckets and Prospect Evaluation Frameworks by Craig Goldstein
True Outcomes by Jarrett Seidler
Dynasty Top 101 by Bret Sayre and Ben Carsley
Top 50 Signees by Bret Sayre
Index of Names
Arizona Diamondbacks
The State of the System:
It s not the deepest system in the world, but we are on one straight year of it being an okay system, and man does that feel weird to type.
The Top Ten:

The Report: Look, I already spent an entire blurb this year debating the role of aesthetics in prospect evaluation, so there is no way I am not going to be enamored with a dude who dresses up like Black Panther to hit huge batting practice dingers. Jazz-I m invoking the Bartolo rule from the style guide here-had me long before that, though. He s a quick-twitch, potential plus-or-better shortstop. That s a pretty big box checked off in the heart of any prospect writer. With plus actions, plus arm, plus range, and uh, plus raw (and that s not power in this case), Jazz is never boring on any ball hit in his vicinity, and he s capable of the spectacular.
At the plate? Well, Jazz is more Pharoah Sanders than John Coltrane at present. He swings hard and generates more power than you d think out of his wiry frame, although he pays for it with substantial swing and miss. He might have to find a compromise between the natural fluidity of his swing and his aggressive, power-minded approach. But even Coltrane recorded Om eventually (though I don t suggest Jazz take the same approach with his pre-game preparations) and if the hit tool doesn t come around, he might not have enough of a career to merit any future critical reevaluation.
The Risks: High. There s still a fair bit of risk in the bat, and Double-A will provide a crucial test for the profile.
Ben Carsley s Fantasy Take: As you can likely tell already, Jazz is a much better IRL than fantasy prospect. That being said, there s enough to like here since we re dealing with a dude who s a lock to stay at short, who can hit for some power, and who might only be a year-and-a-half away. In short, I wouldn t ever expect Chisholm to ever perform as a top-10 shortstop, but he might be able to hit for enough power and steal just enough bases to become a top-20 option. This is not the most exciting fantasy system

The Report: The old Good/Bad format would work well for this dude. Duplantier has a lot of good-a full four-pitch mix where each could become average with upside from there. There s a lively low-to-mid-90s fastball that hitters beat into the ground, and the trendy hard slider works well in concert for swings-and-misses. His curve flashes plus too, and he also throws a changeup that might get to average or slightly better. As you d imagine for an advanced true four-pitch guy, he s run into little trouble so far in the minors through Double-A.
So what s the bad? We ve noted in the past that he s a control-over-command guy, but he s started walking people more than we anticipated. There s effort and violence in the delivery, and 2017 is the only season in college or pro ball that he s stayed healthy while starting. You could very easily see him consolidating the repertoire down to feature the fastball and slider, transitioning to a relief role, and never looking back.
The Risks: High. Starting pitcher from Rice is its own entire category of red flag. Duplantier missed about two months this summer with biceps tendinitis. He has also had significant elbow trouble earlier in his career, and battled shoulder problems in college. So there s a lot of injury risk here on top of the scouty reliever risk.
Ben Carsley s Fantasy Take: I want to like Duplantier from a dynasty perspective because I think he ll be fun to watch, but I m comparatively low on him as a fantasy guy. As noted above, there probably isn t elite strikeout potential here, and now it looks less likely to come with a sparkly WHIP to mitigate the lack of Ks. Add in the durability/reliever concerns and you get a guy who I think is fairly overvalued in dynasty. He s a solid prospect to be sure, and one who may still fight his way onto the 101, but I think he s a touch overrated in our world right now.

The Report: Jarrett Seidler waxed about Bahamian prospects in our Angels list, but Robinson is the crown jewel of that talented 2017 class. With a frame (and tools profile) that is essentially a Jo Adell starter kit, we were always going to be smitten with him. There s explosive bat speed and his approach improved throughout his first pro season. He s a good bet to stick in center field even if he fills out in his late teens and twenties. He s potentially plus-or-better in the four tools you really care about (the arm is light). Robinson offers the kind of upside you dream about in an outfield prospect; you don t have to squint hard to see a 20/20 center fielder.
He s also another prospect who fits well in our old Good/Bad format. There s significant swing-and-miss. He can get a little out of control at the plate. He s still likely four or more years away from paydirt. Conversely, he s still a prospect who doesn t fit all that well into our OFP/Likely format because of the rigidness of our application. I also don t get to punt it for another year. Let s just say the positive and negative risk here stretches well beyond what s below and reconvene this time next year-where it s entirely possible I will be making the same apologies I made for being a year late on (insert complex league breakout prospect of choice). Unlike Vladito, I will at least make sure he s on the 101 this time.
The Risks: High. He spent all of 2018 in short-season ball as a 17-year-old. As good as the tools are here, the delta is gonna be high.
Ben Carsley s Fantasy Take: The odds may be long, but anytime you get an athlete with Robinson s power/speed combination you have to pay attention as a fantasy owner. Robinson already had some buzz last year, so he may be owned already in more serious leagues. But if you re looking for an all-upside flier or your leaguemates haven t caught on yet he s a fine addition in formats with 150-plus prospects rostered.

The Report: In addition to sounding like a protagonist from a Walking Tall direct-to-video sequel, Varsho carries the requisite big stick. Despite his cold-weather catching pedigree, he handled the Cal League with little issue and projects for above-average power with enough facility with the bat to get most of it into games. The biggest question with Varsho was a familiar one to anyone who spends too much (any) time thinking about catching prospects: Will he stick? The frame is more Joe Don Baker than The Rock, which is the only instance that isn t a demerit, and he has an easy plus arm. His receiving has improved throughout his pro career, although it still remains fringy for now. The upper minors will give us a better idea if Varsho is an A-List catching prospect or just another Kevin Sorbo. For now, the audition tape is promising.
The Risks: High. Catchers are weird. Co