Prediction Markets versus Alternative Methods [Elektronische Ressource] : Empirical Tests of Accuracy and Acceptability / Andreas Graefe. Betreuer: C. Weinhardt

Prediction Markets versus Alternative Methods Empirical Tests of Accuracy and Acceptability Zur Erlangung des akademischen Grades eines Doktors der Wirtschaftswissenschaften (Dr. rer. pol.) von der Fakultät für Wirtschaftswissenschaften der Universität Karlsruhe(TH) genehmigte DISSERTATION von Dipl.-Volkswirt, Dipl.-Wirtsch.Inf. Andreas Graefe Tag der mündlichen Prüfung: 25. Mai 2009 Referent: Prof. Dr. Christof Weinhardt Korreferent: Dr. Armin Grunwald 2009, Karlsruhe Acknowledgments am indebted to many people for their support and collaboration throughout this Ph.D. project. I would like to thank my supervisor Christof Weinhardt for his strong I support and for continuously providing valuable insight and comments. I would also like to thank Armin Grunwald for co-advising this thesis and giving me the opportunity to work in the highly interdisciplinary research environment at the Institute for Technology Assessment and Systems Analysis (ITAS) at the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology. There, I was able to discuss and exchange ideas with colleagues from different fields and was involved in research projects that were beyond the focus of my thesis, which provided a stimulating environment to grow and learn. Thereby, special thanks to my friend and mentor Carsten Orwat who navigated me through my first steps in the academic world and was always there with helpful advice.