Downscaling of precipitation in the upper Danube catchment area [Elektronische Ressource] / Janus Willem Schipper

Downscaling of Precipitationin theUpper Danube Catchment AreaJanus Willem SchipperMu¨nchen 2005Downscaling of Precipitationin theUpper Danube Catchment AreaJanus Willem SchipperDissertationan der Fakult¨at fu¨r Physikder Ludwig–Maximilians–Universit¨atMu¨nchenvorgelegt vonJanus Willem Schipperaus Amersfoort, NiederlandeMu¨nchen, den 10. Mai 2005Erstgutachter: Prof. Dr. J. EggerZweitgutachter: Priv. Doz. Dr. G. Z¨anglTag der mu¨ndlichen Pru¨fung: 8. Juli 2005“Anyone who says sunshine brings happiness has never danced in the rain.”(anonymous)viContentsSummary xiii1 Introduction 12 Literature review 53 Sensitivity of MM5 precipitation to various physical parameterizations 93.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93.2 Model description, data and methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93.2.1 Description of the model configurations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103.2.2 Observational data and selected time periods . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123.3 Results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 143.4 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 164 Description of rainfall variability 194.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 194.2 Linear average . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 224.3 Fourier analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .