SERIAL EFFECTS OF EVIDENCE ON LEGAL DECISION-MAKING

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Abstract
The order in which evidence is presented to a criminal court might influence the verdict. This study investigated the serial position effect in a judicial context. 1831 Swiss criminal judges received a filmed mock trial with a specific order stemming from the combination of 3 witnesses: a forensic expert, an eyewitness and an alibi witness. The evidence order was completely counterbalanced and each witness represented a different type of testimony chosen in accordance with the legal practice. If judges rendered their verdict on the basis of the first witness, a primacy effect would be observed. Conversely, if the last testimony would be preponderant, a recency effect would influence their judgment. Results showed a recency effect based on a defence eyewitness whose placement in the last position provoked significantly less condemnations. Furthermore, the probative value estimated by the judges for each piece of evidence was not associated with its serial impact. Results are discussed in relation to legal decision-making and the identification of a central witness mediating order effects.
Resumen
El orden de presentación de las pruebas ante un tribunal penal puede influir en el veredicto. En este estudio se investigó el efecto del orden de presentación. 1831 jueces suizos de la jurisdicción penal recibieron la recreación filmada de un juicio con un orden específico derivado de la combinación de 3 testimonios: testimonio de un forense, testimonio de un testigo presencial y un testigo de coartada. El orden de presentación de las pruebas fue contrabalanceado, caracterizando cada testigo un tipo diferente de testimonio elegido de conformidad con la práctica jurídica. Si los jueces emitieran el veredicto sobre la base del primer testimonio se observaría un efecto de primacía. Por el contrario, si el último testimonio fuera el preponderante, un efecto mediaría el juicio alcanzado. Los resultados mostraron un efecto de recencia para el testigo de la defensa, de modo que cuando este se colocó al final del juicio, la tasa de condenas fue significativamente menor. Por su parte, el valor probatorio estimado por los jueces para cada una de las pruebas no se asoció con su impacto en el orden de presentación. Las implicaciones de los resultados se discuten en relación con la toma de decisiones legales y la identificación de un testimonio central que medie efectos en el orden de presentación.
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ISSN: 1889-1861 The European Journal of Psychology Applied to Legal Context, 2011, 3(1)
www.usc.es/sepjf

j
THE EUROPEAN JOURNAL
OF
PSYCHOLOGY APPLIED
TO
LEGAL CONTEXT









Volume 4, Number 2, July 2012










The official Journal of the
SOCIEDAD ESPAÑOLA DE PSICOLOGÍA JURÍDICA Y FORENSE
Website: http://www.usc.es/sepjf The European Journal of Psychology Applied to Legal Context, 2012, 4(2)
Eur. j. psychol. appl. legal context, 2012, 4(2), 99-196, ISSN: 1889-1861
www.usc.es/sepjf

Editor

Ramón Arce, University of Santiago de Compostela (Spain).

Associate Editors

Gualberto Buela-Casal, University of Granada (Spain).
Francisca Fariña, University of Vigo (Spain).
Günter Köhnken, University of Kiel (Germany).
Ronald Roesch, Simon Fraser University (Canada).

Editorial Board

Rui Abrunhosa, University of O Miño (Portugal).
Ray Bull, University of Leicester (UK).
Thomas Bliesener, University of Kiel (Germany).
Fernando Chacón, Complutense University of Madrid (Spain).
Ángel Egido, University of Angers (France).
Jorge Folino, National University of La Plata (Argentina).
Antonio Godino, University of Lecce (Italy).
Friedrich Lösel, University of Cambridge (UK).
María Ángeles Luengo, University of Santiago de Compostela (Spain).
Eduardo Osuna, University of Murcia (Spain).
Francisco Santolaya, President of the Spanish Psychological Association (Spain).
Juan Carlos Sierra, University of Granada (Spain).
Jorge Sobral, University of Santiago de Compostela (Spain).
Max Steller, Free University of Berlin, (Germany).
Francisco Tortosa, University of Valencia (Spain).
Peter J. Van Koppen, Maastricht University (The Netherlands).
David Wexler, University of Arizona (USA), Director of International Network on Therapeutic Jurisprudence.

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Official Journal of the Sociedad Española de Psicología Jurídica y Forense (www.usc.es/sepjf)
Published By: SEPJF.
Published in: Santiago de Compostela (Spain)
Volume 4, Number 1.
Order Form: see www.usc.es/sepjf
Frequency: 2 issues per year (January, July).
E-mail address: ejpalc@usc.es
Postal address: The European Journal of Psychology Applied to Legal Context, Facultad de Psicología,
Universidad de Santiago de Compostela, E-15782 Santiago de Compostela (Spain).

ISSN: 1889-1861.
D.L.: C-4376-2008
The European Journal of Psychology Applied to Legal Context, 2012, 4(2): 99-118
www.usc.es/sepjf

SERIAL EFFECTS OF EVIDENCE ON
LEGAL DECISION-MAKING
Raluca Enescu* and André Kuhn**

* University of Hamburg (Germany)
** University of Lausanne (Switzerland)


(Received 8 February 2011; revised 6 January 2012; accepted 2 February 2012)

Abstract Resumen
The order in which evidence is presented El orden de presentación de las pruebas
to a criminal court might influence the verdict. ante un tribunal penal puede influir en el
This study investigated the serial position effect veredicto. En este estudio se investigó el efecto
in a judicial context. 1831 Swiss criminal judges del orden de presentación. 1831 jueces suizos de
received a filmed mock trial with a specific la jurisdicción penal recibieron la recreación
order stemming from the combination of 3 filmada de un juicio con un orden específico
witnesses: a forensic expert, an eyewitness and derivado de la combinación de 3 testimonios:
an alibi witness. The evidence order was testimonio de un forense, testimonio de un
completely counterbalanced and each witness testigo presencial y un testigo de coartada. El
represented a different type of testimony chosen orden de presentación de las pruebas fue
in accordance with the legal practice. If judges contrabalanceado, caracterizando cada testigo
rendered their verdict on the basis of the first un tipo diferente de testimonio elegido de
witness, a primacy effect would be observed. conformidad con la práctica jurídica. Si los
Conversely, if the last testimony would be jueces emitieran el veredicto sobre la base del
preponderant, a recency effect would influence primer testimonio se observaría un efecto de
their judgment. Results showed a recency effect primacía. Por el contrario, si el último
based on a defence eyewitness whose placement testimonio fuera el preponderante, un efecto
in the last position provoked significantly less mediaría el juicio alcanzado. Los resultados
condemnations. Furthermore, the probative mostraron un efecto de recencia para el testigo
value estimated by the judges for each piece of de la defensa, de modo que cuando este se
evidence was not associated with its serial colocó al final del juicio, la tasa de condenas fue
impact. Results are discussed in relation to legal significativamente menor. Por su parte, el valor
decision-making and the identification of a probatorio estimado por los jueces para cada
central witness mediating order effects. una de las pruebas no se asoció con su impacto
en el orden de presentación. Las implicaciones
Keywords: decision making; evidence; order de los resultados se discuten en relación con la
effects; criminal trial; verdict. toma de decisiones legales y la identificación de
un testimonio central que medie efectos en el
orden de presentación.

Palabras clave: toma de decisiones; pruebas;
efectos de orden; juicio penal; veredicto.




Correspondence: Raluca Enescu, University of Hamburg, Faculty of Law, Department of International
and Comparative Criminal Law, Rothenbaumchaussee 33, 20148 Hamburg, Germany. E-mail:
raluca.enescu@heuristix.eu

ISSN 1889-1861 © The European Journal of Psychology Applied to Legal Context
100 R. Enescu and A. Kuhn
Introduction
As a perception or an opinion, a verdict is made up of various components. The
Gestalt theory (Koffka, 1933; Lewin, 1935; Wertheimer, 1959) has given rise to a
psychology of wholes, summed up in the idea that an entity cannot be defined by the
sum of its parts. The distinction between parts and whole means that each unit performs
a precise function within an entity. The same part will change its role if it belongs to a
different whole or if taken in isolation. Moreover the parts exercise a mutual influence
until such time that they reach equilibrium within a stable entity (Guillaume, 1979). The
reasoning behind an opinion stems from the way in which its contradictory pieces of
information are organised by means of psychological mechanisms such as serial effects
(Atkinson, 1977; Baddeley, 1999; Ebbinghaus, 1913), cognitive consistency (Festinger,
1957, 1964; Heider, 1946), anchoring effects (Wagenaar, 1988; Wagenaar, van Koppen,
& Crombag, 1993) and heuristics (Gigerenzer, 2002; Kahneman, Slovic, & Tversky,
1982). Opinions about persons, also called social impressions, have similarities with the
task of forming opinions about defendants and the acts they might have committed. In
both cases, pieces of information will be presented and integrated into a judgment.
The combination of personal characteristics within an impression is directly
related to Gestalt theory, since it focuses on how a unified impression can be formed
from discrete elements. When two experimental groups read the same terms in different
orders of presentation, the resulting impressions differed greatly. They were based on
the characteristics presented first and showed the influence of a primacy effect (Asch,
1946). If the first elements were positive, the importance of the negative terms
presented thereafter was minimized; if they were negative, the value of the subsequent
positive elements was reduced. This effect has been observed afterward in settings such
as ability attribution (Jones, Rock, Shaver, Goethals, & Ward 1968), political and social
issues (Edwards & Smith, 1996) and health policy (Jonas, Schulz-Hardt, Frey, &
Thelen, 2001). Such results were explained by the construction of a reference frame,
imposing unconsciously an interpretative direction on subsequent elements anchored to
the first impression (Nisbett & Wilson, 1977).
In 1938, Weld and Roff transcribed eleven witness statements of a real trial and
read them out to the participants. The assessment of guilt was noted on a nine-point
scale after each item was presented. It was observed that the very fact of being charged
with a crime in itself constituted an incriminating factor. Thirty-three subjects out of
The European Journal of Psychology Applied to Legal Context, 2012, 4(2): 99-118
Serial effects of evidence on legal decision-making 101
fifty already judged the defendant guilty after hearing only the charge. This observation

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