201 Cyprus - Reunification or Partition KO

CYPRUS: REUNIFICATION OR PARTITION? Europe Report N°201 – 30 September 2009 TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS................................................. i I. INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................. 1 II. PEACE PROCESS WITH NO NAME............................................................................ 3 A. THE CHRISTOFIAS-TALAT CONNECTION ......................................................................................3 B. DOMESTIC OPPOSITION GROWS ...................................................................................................4 III. THE FORK IN THE ROAD AHEAD............................................................................. 7 A. THE ACCELERATING SLIDE TO PARTITION ...................................................................................7 1. An unsettled future for Greek Cypriots........................................................................................9 2. Multiple costs for Turkey...........................................................................................................10 3. A fate Turkish Cypriots must avoid...........................................................................................11 B. SEIZING THE CHANCE FOR FEDERAL REUNIFICATION.................................................................13 IV. THE NEGOTIATING ISSUES........................... ...